IGSNRR OpenIR
identificationandcategorizationofclimatechangerisks
Yuehong Zhang1; Shaohong Wu1; Erfu Dai1; Dengwei Liu2; Yunhe Yin1
2008
Source Publicationchinesegeographicalscience
ISSN1002-0063
Volume018Issue:003Pages:268
AbstractThe scientific evidence that climate is changing due to greenhouse gas emission is now incontestable, which may put many social, biological, and geophysical systems in the world at risk. In this paper, we first identified main risks induced from or aggravated by climate change. Then we categorized them applying a new risk categorization system brought forward by Renn in a framework of International Risk Governance Council. We proposed that "uncertainty" could be treated as the classification criteria. Based on this, we established a quantitative method with fuzzy set theory, in which "confidence" and "likelihood", the main quantitative terms for expressing uncertainties in IPCC, were used as the feature parameters to construct the fuzzy membership functions of four risk types. According to the maximum principle, most climate change risks identified were classified into the appropriate risk types. In the mean time, given that not all the quantitative terms are available, a qualitative approach was also adopted as a complementary classification method. Finally, we get the preliminary results of climate change risk categorization, which might iay the foundation for the future integrated risk management of climate change.
Language英语
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/75835
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Affiliation1.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
2.Development Research Center, Ministry of Water Resources
First Author Affilication中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yuehong Zhang,Shaohong Wu,Erfu Dai,et al. identificationandcategorizationofclimatechangerisks[J]. chinesegeographicalscience,2008,018(003):268.
APA Yuehong Zhang,Shaohong Wu,Erfu Dai,Dengwei Liu,&Yunhe Yin.(2008).identificationandcategorizationofclimatechangerisks.chinesegeographicalscience,018(003),268.
MLA Yuehong Zhang,et al."identificationandcategorizationofclimatechangerisks".chinesegeographicalscience 018.003(2008):268.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Yuehong Zhang]'s Articles
[Shaohong Wu]'s Articles
[Erfu Dai]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Yuehong Zhang]'s Articles
[Shaohong Wu]'s Articles
[Erfu Dai]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Yuehong Zhang]'s Articles
[Shaohong Wu]'s Articles
[Erfu Dai]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.