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Relationships between climate change, agricultural development and social stability in the Hexi Corridor over the last 2000 years
Li, Yanpeng; Ge, Quansheng; Wang, Huanjiong; Liu, Haolong; Tao, Zexing
2019-09-01
Source PublicationSCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN1674-7313
Volume62Issue:9Pages:1453-1460
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Wang, Huanjiong(wanghj@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractThis case study of the Hexi Corridor, Northwestern China, utilizes statistical methods to estimate quantitatively the interaction at a regional level between climate change, ancient social developments, and political coping strategies over the past 2000 years. The data is sourced from high-resolution reconstructions of climate series (temperature and precipitation), and historical records of cultivated land, war, population, and changes in regional administrative systems. The results show that moisture conditions played a more significant role than temperature in driving land reclamation in the Hexi Corridor. Analysis also showed a negative correlation between war frequency and the area of cultivated land in the Corridor over 20-year time intervals. Population growth was found to have a significant positive correlation with the cultivated land area during the study period. The results indicate that a climate-induced decline in agricultural production and the subsequent fluctuations in population could act as a trigger for social unrest, which is especially true at the mutual decadal time-scales. However, the interaction with administrative reform also suggests that, in the face of social and economic turmoil, a reasonable administrative hierarchy could strengthen the social governance of regional government, and promote social stability and economic development at a regional level. The study substantiates this notion with empirical quantitative evidence.
KeywordClimate change Agricultural development Social stability Regional administrative reform Hexi Corridor
DOI10.1007/s11430-018-9323-3
WOS KeywordCHINESE HISTORY ; DYNASTIC CYCLES ; QING DYNASTY ; NORTH CHINA ; MIGRATION ; IMPACTS ; EPIDEMICS ; WARS
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectStrategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040101] ; Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[ZDRW-ZS-2016-6] ; Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[KGFZD-135-17-009-1]
Funding OrganizationStrategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS Research AreaGeology
WOS SubjectGeosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS IDWOS:000484999000010
PublisherSCIENCE PRESS
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/69720
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng; Wang, Huanjiong
AffiliationChinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Yanpeng,Ge, Quansheng,Wang, Huanjiong,et al. Relationships between climate change, agricultural development and social stability in the Hexi Corridor over the last 2000 years[J]. SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES,2019,62(9):1453-1460.
APA Li, Yanpeng,Ge, Quansheng,Wang, Huanjiong,Liu, Haolong,&Tao, Zexing.(2019).Relationships between climate change, agricultural development and social stability in the Hexi Corridor over the last 2000 years.SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES,62(9),1453-1460.
MLA Li, Yanpeng,et al."Relationships between climate change, agricultural development and social stability in the Hexi Corridor over the last 2000 years".SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES 62.9(2019):1453-1460.
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