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Projection of the Spatially Explicit Land Use/Cover Changes in China, 2010-2100
Yuan, Yongwei1; Zhao, Tao2; Wang, Weimin3; Chen, Shaohui4; Wu, Feng5
2013
Source PublicationADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY
AbstractLand use/cover change (LUCC) is an important part of the global environmental change. This study predicted the future structure of land use/cover on the basis of the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM) and an econometric model with the socioeconomic factors as the driving forces. The future spatial pattern of land use/cover in China was simulated with the Dynamics of Land System (DLS) under the Business as Usual scenario, Rapid Economic Growth scenario and Cooperate Environmental Sustainability scenario. The simulation results showed that the land use/land cover in China will change continually due to the human activities and climate change, and the spatial pattern of land use/cover will also change as time goes by. Besides, the spatial pattern of land cover in China under the three scenarios is consistent on the whole, but with some regional differences. Built-up area will increase rapidly under the three scenarios, while most land cover types will show a decreasing trend to different degrees under different scenarios. The simulation results can provide an underlying land surface data and reference to the methodology research on the prediction of LUCC.
SubtypeArticle
WOS HeadingsScience & Technology ; Physical Sciences
WOS Subject ExtendedMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS KeywordCOVER CHANGE MODEL ; DRIVING FORCES ; SIMULATION ; DYNAMICS ; PATTERN ; LUCC
Indexed BySCI ; SSCI
Language英语
WOS SubjectMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000325896700001
PublisherHINDAWI PUBLISHING CORPORATION
Citation statistics
Cited Times:3[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/68506
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorYuan, Yongwei
Affiliation1.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Bur Sci & Technol Dev, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
3.Shenzhen Environm Monitoring Ctr, Shenzhen 518049, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yuan, Yongwei,Zhao, Tao,Wang, Weimin,et al. Projection of the Spatially Explicit Land Use/Cover Changes in China, 2010-2100[J]. ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY,2013.
APA Yuan, Yongwei,Zhao, Tao,Wang, Weimin,Chen, Shaohui,&Wu, Feng.(2013).Projection of the Spatially Explicit Land Use/Cover Changes in China, 2010-2100.ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY.
MLA Yuan, Yongwei,et al."Projection of the Spatially Explicit Land Use/Cover Changes in China, 2010-2100".ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY (2013).
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