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Modeling the Impacts of Urbanization and Industrial Transformation on Water Resources in China: An Integrated Hydro-Economic CGE Analysis
Jiang, Li1; Wu, Feng2; Liu, Yu3; Deng, Xiangzheng4
2014-11-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
Volume6Issue:11Pages:7586-7600
AbstractPressure on existing water resources in China is expected to increase with undergoing rapid demographic transformation, economic development, and global climate changes. We investigate the economy-wide impacts of projected urban population growth and economic structural change on water use and allocation in China. Using a multi-regional CGE (Computable General Equilibrium) model, TERM (The Enormous Regional Model), we explore the implications of selected future water scenarios for China's nine watershed regions. Our results indicate that urbanization and industrial transformation in China will raise the opportunity cost of water use and increase the competition for water between non-agricultural users and irrigation water users. The growth in water demand for domestic and industrial uses reduces the amount of water allocated to agriculture, particularly lower-value and water-intensive field crops. As a response, farmers have the incentive to shift their agricultural operations from traditional field crop production to higher-value livestock or intensive crop production. In addition, our results suggest that growing water demand due to urbanization and industrial transformation will raise the shadow price of water in all nine river basins. Finally, we find that national economic growth is largely attributable to urbanization and non-agricultural productivity growth.
SubtypeArticle
KeywordUrban Population Growth Economic Structural Change Multi-regional Cge Model Water Accounts Nine River Basins Water Use And Allocation Shadow Price
WOS HeadingsScience & Technology ; Life Sciences & Biomedicine
WOS Subject ExtendedEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS KeywordRIVER-BASIN ; AGRICULTURE ; CONSUMPTION ; SYSTEMS ; POLICY
Indexed BySCI ; SSCI
Language英语
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000345564700006
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Cited Times:16[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/68484
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorJiang, Li
Affiliation1.Renmin Univ China, Sch Econ, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jiang, Li,Wu, Feng,Liu, Yu,et al. Modeling the Impacts of Urbanization and Industrial Transformation on Water Resources in China: An Integrated Hydro-Economic CGE Analysis[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2014,6(11):7586-7600.
APA Jiang, Li,Wu, Feng,Liu, Yu,&Deng, Xiangzheng.(2014).Modeling the Impacts of Urbanization and Industrial Transformation on Water Resources in China: An Integrated Hydro-Economic CGE Analysis.SUSTAINABILITY,6(11),7586-7600.
MLA Jiang, Li,et al."Modeling the Impacts of Urbanization and Industrial Transformation on Water Resources in China: An Integrated Hydro-Economic CGE Analysis".SUSTAINABILITY 6.11(2014):7586-7600.
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