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Analysis and Projection of the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Land Use Structure in China
Jin, Qin1; Deng, Xiangzheng2,3; Wang, Zhan2,3; Shi, Chenchen4; Li, Xing1
2014-12-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
Volume6Issue:12Pages:9343-9370
AbstractBased on the computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling method, this research analyzes the relationship between industrial structure and land use structure in China. The results show that our model is feasible, and the simulation results are of a certain stability. Under the scenario analysis and projection of the relationship between the industrial structure and land use structure of the thirty-one provinces in China from 2010 to 2020, the proportions of secondary and tertiary industry in each province have been increasing; correspondingly, the proportion of agriculture has been decreasing. This means that the industrial structure of China is changing. As for land use, in general, the trend is similar to the industrial structure changes. The transformation of the structure of industrial development and land use has driven economic structure changes in China. The economic structure has an inclination to transform from agriculture to both secondary and tertiary industry. Along with industrial transformation, the cultivated land in China shows a trend of continuous decline. Empirical analysis results indicate that a decrease of cultivated land is acceptable under the scenario of economic growth in the next ten years. This shows a possibility that the economic efficiency of land use for cultivation and business services will decline, and more attention ought to be paid to increasing the economic efficiency of land use.
SubtypeArticle
KeywordCge Model Industrial Structure Land Use Land Use Structure Economic Structure Province China
WOS HeadingsScience & Technology ; Life Sciences & Biomedicine
WOS Subject ExtendedEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS KeywordCOMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ; BAYESIAN-ESTIMATION ; WATER ; DEMAND
Indexed BySCI ; SSCI
Language英语
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000346794700053
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Cited Times:8[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/68476
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng
Affiliation1.China Univ Geosci, Sch Math & Phys, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jin, Qin,Deng, Xiangzheng,Wang, Zhan,et al. Analysis and Projection of the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Land Use Structure in China[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2014,6(12):9343-9370.
APA Jin, Qin,Deng, Xiangzheng,Wang, Zhan,Shi, Chenchen,&Li, Xing.(2014).Analysis and Projection of the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Land Use Structure in China.SUSTAINABILITY,6(12),9343-9370.
MLA Jin, Qin,et al."Analysis and Projection of the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Land Use Structure in China".SUSTAINABILITY 6.12(2014):9343-9370.
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