IGSNRR OpenIR
NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future
Yuan, Quanzhi1,2; Wu, Shaohong3,4; Dai, Erfu3,4; Zhao, Dongsheng3,4; Ren, Ping1,2; Zhang, Xueru5
2017-02-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN1009-637X
Volume27Issue:2Pages:131-142
Corresponding AuthorWu, Shaohong(wush@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractUsing the Integrated Biosphere Simulator, a dynamic vegetation model, this study initially simulated the net primary productivity (NPP) dynamics of China's potential vegetation in the past 55 years (1961-2015) and in the future 35 years (2016-2050). Then, taking the NPP of the potential vegetation in average climate conditions during 1986-2005 as the basis for evaluation, this study examined whether the potential vegetation adapts to climate change or not. Meanwhile, the degree of inadaptability was evaluated. Finally, the NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation was evaluated by synthesizing the frequency and degrees of inadaptability to climate change. In the past 55 years, the NPP of desert ecosystems in the south of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the north of China and in western Tibetan Plateau was prone to the effect of climate change. The NPP of most forest ecosystems was not prone to the influence of climate change. The low NPP vulnerability to climate change of the evergreen broad-leaved and coniferous forests was observed. Furthermore, the NPP of the desert ecosystems in the north of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau also had low vulnerability to climate change. In the next 35 years, the NPP vulnerability to climate change would reduce the forest-steppe in the Songliao Plain, the deciduous broad-leaved forests in the warm temperate zone, and the alpine steppe in the central and western Tibetan Plateau. The NPP vulnerability would significantly increase of the temperate desert in the Junggar Basin and the alpine desert in the Kunlun Mountains. The NPP vulnerability of the subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests would also increase. The area of the regions with increased vulnerability would account for 27.5% of China.
Keywordclimate change vulnerability potential vegetation net primary productivity IBIS China
DOI10.1007/s11442-017-1368-6
WOS KeywordPRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; CARBON BALANCE ; WATER-BALANCE ; MODEL ; ECOSYSTEM ; DYNAMICS ; SCENARIOS
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectKey Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530749] ; Science and Technology Project of Sichuan Provincial Department of Education[15ZB0023] ; Youth Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China[41301196] ; Youth Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China[41501202] ; Chongqing Foundation and Advanced Research Project[cstc2014jcyjA0808]
Funding OrganizationKey Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Science and Technology Project of Sichuan Provincial Department of Education ; Youth Projects of National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chongqing Foundation and Advanced Research Project
WOS Research AreaPhysical Geography
WOS SubjectGeography, Physical
WOS IDWOS:000390068200001
PublisherSCIENCE PRESS
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65356
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorWu, Shaohong
Affiliation1.Sichuan Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Land Resources Evaluat & Monitoring South, Chengdu 610068, Peoples R China
2.Sichuan Normal Univ, Inst Geog & Resources Sci, Chengdu 610101, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Chongqing Jiaotong Univ, Chongqing 400074, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yuan, Quanzhi,Wu, Shaohong,Dai, Erfu,et al. NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2017,27(2):131-142.
APA Yuan, Quanzhi,Wu, Shaohong,Dai, Erfu,Zhao, Dongsheng,Ren, Ping,&Zhang, Xueru.(2017).NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,27(2),131-142.
MLA Yuan, Quanzhi,et al."NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 27.2(2017):131-142.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Yuan, Quanzhi]'s Articles
[Wu, Shaohong]'s Articles
[Dai, Erfu]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Yuan, Quanzhi]'s Articles
[Wu, Shaohong]'s Articles
[Dai, Erfu]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Yuan, Quanzhi]'s Articles
[Wu, Shaohong]'s Articles
[Dai, Erfu]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.