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Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model
Li, Fangzheng1,2; Sun, Yinan1,2; Li, Xiong1,2; Hao, Xinhua3; Li, Wanyi1,2; Qian, Yun1,2; Liu, Haimeng4; Sun, Haiyan1
2016-10-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
Volume8Issue:10Pages:17
Corresponding AuthorLi, Xiong()
AbstractGreater contradiction and conflict among urban green space, the development of social economy and the environment have occurred in Beijing. However, few studies have been conducted that consider the three subsystems as a whole. In this study, we defined sustainable development of green space (SDGS) as the coordinated development of the urban green system, social economy, and environment. Based on the datasets from 2000 to 2015, we forecast the SDGS in Beijing under multiple scenarios based on real-world policies using a system dynamics model. We found that the historical SDGS value increased to its highest level in 2012, but declined slightly by 2015. Second, the forecasted SDGS values declined over time in all scenarios, but the decline was greater in scenarios placing a high priority on economic development. In these scenarios, the performance of the indices only improved in certain subsystems. The simulation shows the implementation of the four policies proposed by the government failed to improve the overall level of SDGS in Beijing. This study could provide support for decision-making designed to improve the overall condition of urban green space in Beijing through integrated forecast and scenario simulation.
KeywordBeijing forecast policy formulation scenario simulation sustainable development of green space system dynamics model
DOI10.3390/su8100965
WOS KeywordANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS ; URBAN AIR-QUALITY ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; CHINA ; LANDSCAPE ; SECURITY ; WATER ; AREA ; INFRASTRUCTURE ; SIMULATION
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[51308044] ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000389314600005
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Cited Times:3[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65253
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorLi, Xiong
Affiliation1.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Landscape Architecture, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Lab Urban & Rural Ecol Environm, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
3.Beijing Tsinghua Tongheng Urban Planning & Design, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Fangzheng,Sun, Yinan,Li, Xiong,et al. Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2016,8(10):17.
APA Li, Fangzheng.,Sun, Yinan.,Li, Xiong.,Hao, Xinhua.,Li, Wanyi.,...&Sun, Haiyan.(2016).Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model.SUSTAINABILITY,8(10),17.
MLA Li, Fangzheng,et al."Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model".SUSTAINABILITY 8.10(2016):17.
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