KMS Institute Of Geographic Sciences And Natural Resources Research,CAS
Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run | |
Wang, Huanjiong1; Rutishauser, This2,3; Tao, Zexing1,4; Zhong, Shuying1![]() ![]() ![]() | |
2017-02-01 | |
Source Publication | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
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ISSN | 0020-7128 |
Volume | 61Issue:2Pages:287-292 |
Corresponding Author | Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Dai, Junhu(daijh@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
Abstract | The impact of spring temperature forcing on the timing of leaf unfolding of plants (temperature sensitivity, S-T) is one important indicator of how and to what degree plant species track climate change. Fu et al. (Nature 526:104-107, 2015) found that S-T has significantly decreased from the 1980-1994 to the 1999-2013 period for seven mid-latitude tree species in Europe. However, long-term changes in S-T over the past 60 years are still not clear. Here, using in situ observations of leaf unfolding for seven dominant European tree species, we analyze the temporal change in S-T over decadal time scales extending the data series back to 1951. Our results demonstrate that S-T shows no statistically significant change within shifting 30-year windows from 1951 to 2013 and remains stable between 1951-1980 and 1984-2013 (3.6 versus 3.7 days A degrees C-1). This result suggests that the significant decrease in S-T over the past 33 years could not be sustained when examining the trends of phenological responses in the long run. Therefore, we could not conclude that tree spring phenology advances will slow down in the future, and the S-T changes in warming scenarios are still uncertain. |
Keyword | Phenology Leaf unfolding date Temperature sensitivity Climate change impact |
DOI | 10.1007/s00484-016-1210-3 |
WOS Keyword | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERN ; SERIES ; TREES ; TIME |
Indexed By | SCI |
Language | 英语 |
Funding Project | National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project[41427805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41401071] ; National Basic Research Program of China[2012CB955304] |
Funding Organization | National Major Scientific Instruments Development Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China |
WOS Research Area | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
WOS Subject | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
WOS ID | WOS:000393669800008 |
Publisher | SPRINGER |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64876 |
Collection | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
Corresponding Author | Ge, Quansheng; Dai, Junhu |
Affiliation | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res OCCR, Bern, Switzerland 3.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Bern, Switzerland 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,et al. Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(2):287-292. |
APA | Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,Zhong, Shuying,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Junhu.(2017).Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,61(2),287-292. |
MLA | Wang, Huanjiong,et al."Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 61.2(2017):287-292. |
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