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Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run
Wang, Huanjiong1; Rutishauser, This2,3; Tao, Zexing1,4; Zhong, Shuying1; Ge, Quansheng1; Dai, Junhu1
2017-02-01
Source PublicationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
ISSN0020-7128
Volume61Issue:2Pages:287-292
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Dai, Junhu(daijh@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractThe impact of spring temperature forcing on the timing of leaf unfolding of plants (temperature sensitivity, S-T) is one important indicator of how and to what degree plant species track climate change. Fu et al. (Nature 526:104-107, 2015) found that S-T has significantly decreased from the 1980-1994 to the 1999-2013 period for seven mid-latitude tree species in Europe. However, long-term changes in S-T over the past 60 years are still not clear. Here, using in situ observations of leaf unfolding for seven dominant European tree species, we analyze the temporal change in S-T over decadal time scales extending the data series back to 1951. Our results demonstrate that S-T shows no statistically significant change within shifting 30-year windows from 1951 to 2013 and remains stable between 1951-1980 and 1984-2013 (3.6 versus 3.7 days A degrees C-1). This result suggests that the significant decrease in S-T over the past 33 years could not be sustained when examining the trends of phenological responses in the long run. Therefore, we could not conclude that tree spring phenology advances will slow down in the future, and the S-T changes in warming scenarios are still uncertain.
KeywordPhenology Leaf unfolding date Temperature sensitivity Climate change impact
DOI10.1007/s00484-016-1210-3
WOS KeywordCLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERN ; SERIES ; TREES ; TIME
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Major Scientific Instruments Development Project[41427805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41401071] ; National Basic Research Program of China[2012CB955304]
Funding OrganizationNational Major Scientific Instruments Development Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Basic Research Program of China
WOS Research AreaBiophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS SubjectBiophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS IDWOS:000393669800008
PublisherSPRINGER
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/64876
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng; Dai, Junhu
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res OCCR, Bern, Switzerland
3.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Bern, Switzerland
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,et al. Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2017,61(2):287-292.
APA Wang, Huanjiong,Rutishauser, This,Tao, Zexing,Zhong, Shuying,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Junhu.(2017).Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,61(2),287-292.
MLA Wang, Huanjiong,et al."Impacts of global warming on phenology of spring leaf unfolding remain stable in the long run".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 61.2(2017):287-292.
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