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Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development
Hasan, Shaikh Shamim1,2,3,4; Deng, Xiangzheng1,3; Li, Zhihui1,2,3; Chen, Dongdong5
2017-04-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
Volume9Issue:4Pages:21
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng(dengxz.ccap@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractLand is one of the important input resources in a highly populous and land-scarce country such as Bangladesh. When different factors change (such as, geophysical, proximity, socioeconomic and climatic), there are dramatic changes in the spatial pattern of land uses. Thus, shedding light on the dynamics of land use and land cover changes has great importance for finding the changing pattern of land use in Bangladesh. In the present study, we predicted the land use and land cover changes from 2010 to 2030 under baseline, ecological protection priority and economic growth scenarios in Bangladesh. On this basis, we applied a previously developed Dynamics of Land Systems (DLS) model to simulate the changes in land uses according to the driving mechanisms. The findings indicate that cultivated land declines and built-up area expansion is common under all three scenarios. However, the future land use demand shows differences under different scenarios. The results under the ecological protection priority scenario shows that forest area and grassland will increase more, while under economic growth scenario, built-up area will expand dramatically in the future. The present research results furnish meaningful decision-making information for planners to conserve and/or exploit land resources in Bangladesh in a more sustainable manner.
Keywordland use change projection ecological protection economic development dynamics of land system (DLS) model Bangladesh
DOI10.3390/su9040505
WOS KeywordSCENARIO SIMULATION ; USE/COVER CHANGE ; NORTHEAST CHINA ; WEIGHTED KAPPA ; CHANGE MODELS ; UPPER REACHES ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; COVER CHANGE ; RELIABILITY ; AGREEMENT
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Funds of China[71225005] ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences[KFJ-EW-STS-058]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Funds of China ; STS-Network Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000402090300028
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/63516
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agr Univ, Dept Agr Extens & Rural Dev, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh
5.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Hubei, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,et al. Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(4):21.
APA Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,Deng, Xiangzheng,Li, Zhihui,&Chen, Dongdong.(2017).Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development.SUSTAINABILITY,9(4),21.
MLA Hasan, Shaikh Shamim,et al."Projections of Future Land Use in Bangladesh under the Background of Baseline, Ecological Protection and Economic Development".SUSTAINABILITY 9.4(2017):21.
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