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Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China
Wu, Zhuo1,2; Ge, Quansheng1,2; Dai, Erfu1,2
2017-05-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
Volume9Issue:5Pages:17
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractForests are under pressure from land use change due to anthropogenic activities. Land use change and harvest are the main disturbances of forest landscape changes. Few studies have focused on the relative contributions of different disturbances. In this study, we used the CA-Markov model, a land-use change model, coupled with a forest landscape model, LANDIS-II, to simulate dynamic change in Taihe County, China, from 2010 to 2050. Scenarios analysis was conducted to quantify the relative contributions of land use change and harvest. Our results show that forestland and arable land will remain the primary land-use types in 2050, whereas the built-up land will sprawl drastically. Land use change and harvest may result in the significant loss of forest area and changes in landscape structure. The simulated forest area will increase by 16.2% under the no disturbance scenario. However, under harvest, forest conversion, and integrated scenario, the area will be reduced by 5.2%, 16.5%, and 34.9%, respectively. The effect of harvest is gradually enhanced. The land use change will account for 60% and harvest will account for 40% of forest landscape change in 2050, respectively. Our results may benefit from the integration of regional forest management and land-use policy-making, and help to achieve a trade-off between economy and ecological environment.
Keywordland use change forest landscape relative contributions CA-Markov model LANDIS-II
DOI10.3390/su9050708
WOS KeywordNORTHERN HARDWOOD FORESTS ; TREE SPECIES MIGRATION ; SOUTH-CENTRAL SIBERIA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES ; ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS ; SPATIALLY EXPLICIT ; SIMULATION-MODEL ; UNITED-STATES
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2015CB452702] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571098] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530749] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41371196] ; Key Programs of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[ZDRW-ZS-2016-6-4] ; A Major Consulting Project of Strategic Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences[Y02015003]
Funding OrganizationNational Key Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Programs of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; A Major Consulting Project of Strategic Development Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000404127800033
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/62981
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorGe, Quansheng
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wu, Zhuo,Ge, Quansheng,Dai, Erfu. Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(5):17.
APA Wu, Zhuo,Ge, Quansheng,&Dai, Erfu.(2017).Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China.SUSTAINABILITY,9(5),17.
MLA Wu, Zhuo,et al."Modeling the Relative Contributions of Land Use Change and Harvest to Forest Landscape Change in the Taihe County, China".SUSTAINABILITY 9.5(2017):17.
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