IGSNRR OpenIR
Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan
Samie, Abdus1,2,3,4; Deng, Xiangzheng1,3; Jia, Siqi1,3; Chen, Dongdong5
2017-08-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
Volume9Issue:8Pages:17
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng(dengxz@lreis.ac.cn)
AbstractThe dramatic changes in land use are associated with various influencing factors such as socioeconomic, climatic, geophysical and proximity factors. Hence, understanding the driving mechanisms of land use changes is crucial to determine the pattern of future changes in land use. The aim of this study is to project the future land use and land cover changes from 2010 to 2030 in Punjab province under three scenarios: Business-as-Usual scenario (BAU), Rapid Economic Growth scenario (REG) and Coordinated Environmental Sustainability scenario (CES). This article used the previously developed Dynamics of Land System (DLS) model to simulate the land use changes in response to the driving mechanisms. The results indicate that cultivated land and built-up areas would expand while areas of water and grassland would face contraction under all three scenarios. Nevertheless, future land demand varies in different scenarios. Under the CES scenario; forest area would expand in the future while large reduction in unused land would be observed. Under the REG scenario, augmented expansion of built-up areas and drastic decrease in forest areas would be the main features of land use changes. Our findings in the scenario analysis of land use changes can provide a reference case for sustainable land use planning and management in Punjab province.
Keywordland use change scenarios dynamics of land system (DLS) model Punjab province
DOI10.3390/su9081285
WOS KeywordCLUE-S MODEL ; CENTRAL HIMALAYA ; CLASSIFICATION ; DETERMINANTS ; RELIABILITY ; RESOURCES ; PATTERNS ; CLIMATE ; SYSTEM ; KAPPA
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectChina National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars[71225005]
Funding OrganizationChina National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000408861800006
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Cited Times:7[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/61837
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, IGSNRR, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.UAF, IARE, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan
5.Hubei Univ, Fac Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430062, Hubei, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Samie, Abdus,Deng, Xiangzheng,Jia, Siqi,et al. Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2017,9(8):17.
APA Samie, Abdus,Deng, Xiangzheng,Jia, Siqi,&Chen, Dongdong.(2017).Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan.SUSTAINABILITY,9(8),17.
MLA Samie, Abdus,et al."Scenario-Based Simulation on Dynamics of Land-Use-Land-Cover Change in Punjab Province, Pakistan".SUSTAINABILITY 9.8(2017):17.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Samie, Abdus]'s Articles
[Deng, Xiangzheng]'s Articles
[Jia, Siqi]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Samie, Abdus]'s Articles
[Deng, Xiangzheng]'s Articles
[Jia, Siqi]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Samie, Abdus]'s Articles
[Deng, Xiangzheng]'s Articles
[Jia, Siqi]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.