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Urban floorspace distribution and development prediction based on floorspace development model
Niu, Fangqu1,2,3; Han, Mengyao1,3
2018-05-01
Source PublicationCOMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS
ISSN0198-9715
Volume69Pages:63-73
Corresponding AuthorHan, Mengyao(hanmy@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractFloorspace spatial development is indisputably the most essential indicator to reflect the spatial distribution of activities especially in mega cities. To forecast the housing floorspace distribution, a three-step Floorspace Development Model (FDM) is developed in this study based on indicators of permissible development constrains, floorspace areas, and house rents. Beijing is selected as the case study area in consideration of its high house price and limited space. Since government plays a key role in the estate development in China, the housing floorspace is estimated through three steps including unconstrained floorspace estimation, constrained floor space estimation, and zonal floorspace allocation. This FDM model is applicable to forecast the developers' decisions based on market rules and government policies, which combines China's special conditions with prediction method perfectly for the first time. Based on this model, floorspace distribution and development prediction can be achieved, laying a solid foundation for assessments of servicing, industrial and educational floorspace development and distribution at urban scale especially mega cities in China.
KeywordFloorspace development model Floorspace distribution Development prediction Land use
DOI10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.01.001
WOS KeywordMETROPOLITAN-AREA ; OFFICE MARKET ; CHINA ; TRANSITION ; EXPANSION
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC0503506] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602804] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701135] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41530634]
Funding OrganizationNational Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
WOS Research AreaComputer Science ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Studies ; Geography ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS IDWOS:000429393200006
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
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Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/57447
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorHan, Mengyao
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Collaborat Innovat Ctr Geopolit Setting Southwest, Kunming 650500, Yunnan, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Niu, Fangqu,Han, Mengyao. Urban floorspace distribution and development prediction based on floorspace development model[J]. COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS,2018,69:63-73.
APA Niu, Fangqu,&Han, Mengyao.(2018).Urban floorspace distribution and development prediction based on floorspace development model.COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS,69,63-73.
MLA Niu, Fangqu,et al."Urban floorspace distribution and development prediction based on floorspace development model".COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS 69(2018):63-73.
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