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The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan
Najmuddin, Omaid1,2,3; Deng, Xiangzheng1,2; Bhattacharya, Ruchira4
2018-02-01
Source PublicationSUSTAINABILITY
ISSN2071-1050
Volume10Issue:2Pages:18
Corresponding AuthorNajmuddin, Omaid(omaid_najmuddin@yahoo.com)
AbstractTo cope with the growing agrarian crises in Afghanistan, the government (following the fall of the Taliban regime in 2002) has taken measures through cropland expansion "extensification" and switching to mechanized agriculture "intensification". However, cropland expansion, on one hand, disturbs the existing land use/cover (LULC) and, on other hand, many socio-economic and biophysical factors affect this process. This study was based on the Kabul River Basin to answer two questions: Firstly, what was the change in LULC since 2001 to 2010 and, secondly, what are the drivers of cropland change. We used the spatial calculating model (SCM) for LULC change and binomial logistic regression (BLR) for drivers of cropland change. The net change shows that cropland, grassland, water-bodies, and built-up areas were increased, while forest, unused, and snow/ice areas were decreased. Cropland was expanded by 13%, which was positively affected by low and plain landforms, slope, soil depth, investment on agriculture and distance to the city, while it was negatively affected by plateaus and hill landforms, dry semi-arid, moist semi-arid, and sub-humid zones, precipitation, population, and the distance to roads and water. Climate adaptation measures, cropland protection in flood prone zones, population and rural migration control, farmer access to credit, irrigation, and inputs are necessary for agricultural deployment.
KeywordKabul river basin land use/cover change spatial calculating model (SCM) binomial logistic regression (BLR)
DOI10.3390/su10020423
WOS KeywordCOVER CHANGE ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; TROPICAL REGIONS ; PROXIMATE CAUSES ; SPATIAL-PATTERN ; DRIVING FORCES ; MODEL ; CHINA ; DEFORESTATION ; INTEGRATION
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA 0602500] ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar[71225005] ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences[131A11KYSB 20130023] ; CAS-TWAS President Fellowship Program
Funding OrganizationNational Key Research and Development Program of China ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; CAS-TWAS President Fellowship Program
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectGREEN & SUSTAINABLE SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS IDWOS:000425943100146
PublisherMDPI AG
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/57095
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorNajmuddin, Omaid
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.Natl Inst Rural Dev & Panchayati Raj, Hyderabad 500030, Andhra Pradesh, India
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Najmuddin, Omaid,Deng, Xiangzheng,Bhattacharya, Ruchira. The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2018,10(2):18.
APA Najmuddin, Omaid,Deng, Xiangzheng,&Bhattacharya, Ruchira.(2018).The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan.SUSTAINABILITY,10(2),18.
MLA Najmuddin, Omaid,et al."The Dynamics of Land Use/Cover and the Statistical Assessment of Cropland Change Drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan".SUSTAINABILITY 10.2(2018):18.
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