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The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?
Huang Ji-kun1,2; Wei Wei2,3; Cui Qi1; Xie Wei1
2017-12-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE
ISSN2095-3119
Volume16Issue:12Pages:2933-2944
Corresponding AuthorHuang Ji-kun(jkhuang.ccap@pku.edu.cn)
AbstractChina's food supply and demand have significant implications for both China's own national food security and that of the world. This study reviews China's food security prospects and their implications, focusing on international trade in the coming decade. The results show that China's policies for ensuring food security will be enhanced and China will move to sustainable agriculture. Most studies anticipate that China will increase its food and feed imports in the coming decade. China's overall food self-sufficiency is likely to fall from 94.5% in 2015 to around 91% by 2025. The greatest increases in imports are likely to be soybean, maize, sugar, and dairy products. However, within the production capacity of the major exporting countries and of many food-importing developing countries, China's additional imports of 3 to 5% of its total food consumption in the coming decade are unlikely to threaten global food security. Indeed, the projected imports of feed and several foods could provide opportunities for many exporting countries to expand their production and save global resources.
Keywordfood security food supply import China global
DOI10.1016/S2095-3119(17)61756-8
WOS KeywordTECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE ; RURAL-DEVELOPMENT ; DEMAND ; GROWTH ; POLICY ; TRADE ; WATER ; AGRICULTURE ; EMERGENCE ; QUALITY
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[71333013] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503243] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[Y02015004] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[GJHZ1312] ; Tsinghua University, China[CIRS2016-03] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2017M610710]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Tsinghua University, China ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
WOS Research AreaAgriculture
WOS SubjectAgriculture, Multidisciplinary
WOS IDWOS:000418345800025
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
Citation statistics
Cited Times:5[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/56771
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorHuang Ji-kun
Affiliation1.Peking Univ, Sch Adv Agr Sci, China Ctr Agr Policy, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Huang Ji-kun,Wei Wei,Cui Qi,et al. The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?[J]. JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE,2017,16(12):2933-2944.
APA Huang Ji-kun,Wei Wei,Cui Qi,&Xie Wei.(2017).The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?.JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE,16(12),2933-2944.
MLA Huang Ji-kun,et al."The prospects for China's food security and imports: Will China starve the world via imports?".JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE AGRICULTURE 16.12(2017):2933-2944.
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