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The varying driving forces of urban expansion in China: Insights from a spatial-temporal analysis
Li, Guangdong; Sun, Siao; Fang, Chuanglin
2018-06-01
Source PublicationLANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING
ISSN0169-2046
Volume174Pages:63-77
Corresponding AuthorSun, Siao(suns@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Fang, Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractIdentifying the driving mechanisms and forces of urban expansion is an important step toward better understanding of the spatial pattern, process, and consequences of urban expansion, which is essential for making effective urban growth planning and policies. Despite many previous studies devoted to investigating urban expansion patterns and mechanisms, the spatial-temporal dynamics of driving forces and their regional differences have not been well-documented. This study examines drivers of urban expansion and their effects across different regions in China in different periods. A spatial Probit model is employed, with data selected based on a national-level sampling strategy, to model urban expansion probability from a spatially explicit perspective. Results indicate that multiple factors including socioeconomic, physical, proximity, accessibility, and neighborhood factors have driven urban expansion in China. Driving factors for urban expansion vary between national and regional levels, suggesting that analyses on different spatial scales are necessary. The dynamics and driving forces of urban expansion in China have been spatial heterogeneous. Furthermore, driving forces have trended toward more diversity over time, and the constraining effects of natural conditions on urban expansion have gradually decayed. These findings aid in gaining a better understanding of the urban expansion process in China, which will in turn benefit urban planning and management across different regions. Lastly, important policy implications are inferred.
KeywordUrban expansion Driving forces National-level sampling Spatial-temporal modelling Spatial Probit model China
DOI10.1016/j.landurbplan.2018.03.004
WOS KeywordLAND-USE CHANGE ; SERVICE VALUE CHANGES ; PEARL RIVER DELTA ; SPATIOTEMPORAL PATTERNS ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; LANDSCAPE PATTERN ; METROPOLITAN-AREA ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; UNITED-STATES
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNatural Science Foundation of China[41590842] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[41501175]
Funding OrganizationNatural Science Foundation of China
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Physical Geography ; Urban Studies
WOS SubjectEcology ; Environmental Studies ; Geography ; Geography, Physical ; Urban Studies
WOS IDWOS:000430756400008
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/55024
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorSun, Siao; Fang, Chuanglin
AffiliationChinese Acad Sci, IGSNRR, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Guangdong,Sun, Siao,Fang, Chuanglin. The varying driving forces of urban expansion in China: Insights from a spatial-temporal analysis[J]. LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,2018,174:63-77.
APA Li, Guangdong,Sun, Siao,&Fang, Chuanglin.(2018).The varying driving forces of urban expansion in China: Insights from a spatial-temporal analysis.LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,174,63-77.
MLA Li, Guangdong,et al."The varying driving forces of urban expansion in China: Insights from a spatial-temporal analysis".LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING 174(2018):63-77.
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