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East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia
Zhang, Huan1; Werner, Johannes P.2,3; Garcia-Bustamante, Elena4; Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel5; Wagner, Sebastian6; Zorita, Eduardo6; Fraedrich, Klaus7; Jungclaus, Johann H.7; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier8,9; Zhu, Xiuhua10; Xoplaki, Elena1; Chen, Fahu11; Duan, Jianping12; Ge, Quansheng13; Hao, Zhixin13; Ivanov, Martin1; Schneider, Lea1; Talento, Stefanie1,14; Wang, Jianglin14; Yang, Bao; Luterbacher, Juerg1,15
2018-05-16
Source PublicationSCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN2045-2322
Volume8Pages:11
Corresponding AuthorZhang, Huan(huan.zhang@geogr.uni-giessen.de)
AbstractEast Asia has experienced strong warming since the 1960s accompanied by an increased frequency of heat waves and shrinking glaciers over the Tibetan Plateau and the Tien Shan. Here, we place the recent warmth in a long-term perspective by presenting a new spatially resolved warm-season (May-September) temperature reconstruction for the period 1-2000 CE using 59 multiproxy records from a wide range of East Asian regions. Our Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) based reconstructions generally agree with earlier shorter regional temperature reconstructions but are more stable due to additional temperature sensitive proxies. We find a rather warm period during the first two centuries CE, followed by a multi-century long cooling period and again a warm interval covering the 900-1200 CE period (Medieval Climate Anomaly, MCA). The interval from 1450 to 1850 CE (Little Ice Age, LIA) was characterized by cooler conditions and the last 150 years are characterized by a continuous warming until recent times. Our results also suggest that the 1990s were likely the warmest decade in at least 1200 years. The comparison between an ensemble of climate model simulations and our summer reconstructions since 850 CE shows good agreement and an important role of internal variability and external forcing on multi-decadal time-scales.
DOI10.1038/s41598-018-26038-8
WOS KeywordRECONSTRUCTING CLIMATE ANOMALIES ; TREE-RING WIDTH ; LAST MILLENNIUM ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIABILITY ; FORCING RECONSTRUCTIONS ; FIELD RECONSTRUCTIONS ; SUMMER TEMPERATURES ; BAYESIAN ALGORITHM ; PMIP SIMULATIONS
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectGerman Science Foundation ; ILModelS[CGL2014-59644-R] ; European Commission
Funding OrganizationGerman Science Foundation ; ILModelS ; European Commission
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics
WOS SubjectMultidisciplinary Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000432275800001
PublisherNATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
Citation statistics
Cited Times:6[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54951
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorZhang, Huan
Affiliation1.Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Dept Geog Climatol Climate Dynam & Climate Change, Giessen, Germany
2.Univ Bergen, Dept Earth Sci, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway
3.Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway
4.Res Ctr Energy Environm & Technol CIEMAT, Dept Energy Renewable Energy Sect, Madrid, Spain
5.Univ Complutense Madrid, CSIC, IGEO, Dept Phys Earth & Astrophys, Madrid, Spain
6.Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany
7.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Bundesstr 53, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
8.Stockholm Univ, Dept Hist, Stockholm, Sweden
9.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden
10.Univ Hamburg, CliSAP, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Hamburg, Germany
11.Lanzhou Univ, MOE Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
12.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
13.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A,Datun Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China
14.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Desert & Desertificat, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China
15.Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Ctr Int Dev & Environm Res, Giessen, Germany
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Huan,Werner, Johannes P.,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena,et al. East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2018,8:11.
APA Zhang, Huan.,Werner, Johannes P..,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena.,Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel.,Wagner, Sebastian.,...&Luterbacher, Juerg.(2018).East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8,11.
MLA Zhang, Huan,et al."East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018):11.
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