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Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties
Chen, Yizhong1,2; He, Li1,2; Lu, Hongwei3; Li, Jing2; Ren, Lixia4
2018-07-01
Source PublicationWATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
Volume32Issue:9Pages:3135-3153
Corresponding AuthorHe, Li(helix111@tju.edu.cn)
AbstractA leader-follower relationship in multiple layers of decision makers under uncertainties is a critical challenge associated with water resources security (WRS). To address this problem, a credibility-based chance-constrained hierarchical programming model with WRS assessment is developed for regional water system sustainability planning. This model can deal with the sequential decision-making problem with different goals and preferences, and reflect uncertainties presented as fuzzy sets. The effectiveness of the developed model is demonstrated through a real-world water resources management system in Beijing, China. A leader-follower interactive solution algorithm based on satisfactory degree is utilized to improve computational efficiency. Results show the that: (a) surface water, groundwater, recycled water, and off water would account for 27.01, 27.44, 23.11, and 22.44% of the total water supplies, respectively; (b) the entire pollutant emissions and economic benefits would consequently decrease by 31.53 and 22.88% when the statue changes from quite safe to extremely far from safe; and (c) a high credibility level would correspond to low risks of insufficient water supply and overloaded pollutant emissions, which lowers economic benefits and pollutant emissions. By contrast, a low credibility level would decrease the limitations of constraints, which leads to high economic benefits and pollutant emissions, but system risk would be increased. These findings can aid different decision makers in identifying the desired strategies for regional water resources management under multiple uncertainties, and support the in-depth analysis of the interrelationships among water security, system efficiency, and credibility level.
KeywordWater sources security Credibility Sustainability Pollutant emissions System risk
DOI10.1007/s11269-018-1981-x
WOS KeywordCONSTRAINED PROGRAMMING APPROACH ; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; DECISION-MAKING ; MANAGEMENT ; OPTIMIZATION ; MODEL ; ENERGY ; CHINA ; ALLOCATION ; LEVEL
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectStrategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040302] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Funding OrganizationStrategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Water Resources
WOS SubjectEngineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS IDWOS:000433501600014
PublisherSPRINGER
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54801
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorHe, Li
Affiliation1.Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat & Safety, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
2.North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Renewable Energy, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Shanxi Inst Energy, Jinzhong 030600, Shanxi, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,et al. Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2018,32(9):3135-3153.
APA Chen, Yizhong,He, Li,Lu, Hongwei,Li, Jing,&Ren, Lixia.(2018).Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(9),3135-3153.
MLA Chen, Yizhong,et al."Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.9(2018):3135-3153.
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