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Exploring Future Water Shortage for Large River Basins under Different Water Allocation Strategies
Yan, Dan1,2; Yao, Mingtian1; Ludwig, Fulco1; Kabat, Pavel1; Huang, He Qing2; Hutjes, Ronald W. A.1; Werners, Saskia E.1
2018-07-01
Source PublicationWATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
Volume32Issue:9Pages:3071-3086
Corresponding AuthorYan, Dan(yandan0918@gmail.com)
AbstractClimate change and socio-economic development increase variations in water availability and water use in the Pearl River Basin (PRB), China. This can potentially result in conflicts over water resources between water users, and cause water shortage in the dry season. To assess and manage water shortage in the PRB, we first explored two water availability and three water use scenarios. Next, four different strategies to allocate water were defined. These water allocation strategies prioritized upstream water use, Pearl River Delta water use, irrigation water use, and manufacturing water use, respectively. The impact of the four strategies on water use and related economic output was assessed under different water availability and water use scenarios. Results show that almost all the regions in the PRB are likely to face water shortage under the four strategies. The increasing water demand contributes twice as much as the decreasing water availability to water shortage. All four water allocation strategies are insufficient to solve the water scarcity in the PRB. The economic losses differ greatly under the four water allocation strategies. Prioritizing the delta region or manufacturing production would result in lower economic losses than the other two strategies. However, all of them are rather extreme strategies. Development of water resources management strategies requires a compromise between different water users.
KeywordWater resources allocation Water shortage Climate change Socio-economic development Pearl River basin
DOI10.1007/s11269-018-1975-8
WOS KeywordRESOURCES MANAGEMENT ; CHINA ; DROUGHT ; YUNNAN ; MODEL
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectScientific Thematic Research Programme Working with Water: adaptive land use and water management in the Pearl River Delta under climate change and sea level rise (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research)[842.00.002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41330751] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41561144012] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41661144030] ; External Cooperation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[GJHZ1019] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2013M540135]
Funding OrganizationScientific Thematic Research Programme Working with Water: adaptive land use and water management in the Pearl River Delta under climate change and sea level rise (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; External Cooperation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Water Resources
WOS SubjectEngineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS IDWOS:000433501600010
PublisherSPRINGER
Citation statistics
Cited Times:2[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54769
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorYan, Dan
Affiliation1.Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change, POB 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yan, Dan,Yao, Mingtian,Ludwig, Fulco,et al. Exploring Future Water Shortage for Large River Basins under Different Water Allocation Strategies[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2018,32(9):3071-3086.
APA Yan, Dan.,Yao, Mingtian.,Ludwig, Fulco.,Kabat, Pavel.,Huang, He Qing.,...&Werners, Saskia E..(2018).Exploring Future Water Shortage for Large River Basins under Different Water Allocation Strategies.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(9),3071-3086.
MLA Yan, Dan,et al."Exploring Future Water Shortage for Large River Basins under Different Water Allocation Strategies".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.9(2018):3071-3086.
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