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Assessment of coastal development policy based on simulating a sustainable land-use scenario for Liaoning Coastal Zone in China
Fan, Jie1,2; Wang, Qiang3,4; Wang, Yafei1,2; Chen, Dong1,2; Zhou, Kan1,2
2018-08-01
Source PublicationLAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT
ISSN1085-3278
Volume29Issue:8Pages:2390-2402
Corresponding AuthorFan, Jie(fanj@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Wang, Qiang(wangqiang_1102@126.com)
AbstractUnsustainable land development policy can result in serious eco-environmental issues, leading to unsustainable development in coastal zones, the phenomenon of which is particularly prominent in developing countries. How to assess the impact of policy on the sustainable development of land resource in the future is a challenge that is well worth exploring. With the coastal zone of Liaoning Province in China as an example, this paper proposes a new framework for assessing coastal development policy based on simulating the sustainable land-use scenario (S). The results show that under Scenario D that driven by government's development policies, the proportions of highly exploited construction land and shoreline would be 11 and 18 percentage points higher, respectively, than those under Scenario S, whereas the potential losses of agricultural land and natural land in Scenario S would increase by 14.5% and 12.6%, respectively, the natural shoreline would decrease by 25.1% in comparison with Scenario S. Policy-led deviation indexes in industrial, urban, and port land use are 12.98, 7.15, and 2.02, respectively, on the contrary in natural land use, it even reaches a high level of -15.07. This indicates that, being driven by the government development policies, the development scales of industrial, urban, and port land/shoreline use significantly will exceed the corresponding sustainably healthy ranges, leading to a massive diversion of natural land/shoreline, which thereby becomes the type most remarkably impacted by policy errors. The findings can provide case-study analysis and reference for assessing the impact of development policy on resource-environment sustainability.
Keywordcoastal zone land use policy assessment policy-led deviation index sustainable land use scenario
DOI10.1002/ldr.3013
WOS KeywordSEA-LEVEL RISE ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; COVER CHANGE ; IMPACTS ; SYSTEMS ; MODEL ; SCALE ; URBANIZATION ; FRAMEWORK ; ADJACENT
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[41630644] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671126]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology ; Agriculture
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Soil Science
WOS IDWOS:000441249100014
PublisherWILEY
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/54298
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorFan, Jie; Wang, Qiang
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, 11 Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Fujian Normal Univ, State Key Lab Subtrop Mt Ecol, Minist Sci & Technol & Fujian Prov, Fuzhou 350007, Fujian, Peoples R China
4.Fujian Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, 32 Shangsan Rd, Fuzhou 350007, Fujian, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Fan, Jie,Wang, Qiang,Wang, Yafei,et al. Assessment of coastal development policy based on simulating a sustainable land-use scenario for Liaoning Coastal Zone in China[J]. LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT,2018,29(8):2390-2402.
APA Fan, Jie,Wang, Qiang,Wang, Yafei,Chen, Dong,&Zhou, Kan.(2018).Assessment of coastal development policy based on simulating a sustainable land-use scenario for Liaoning Coastal Zone in China.LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT,29(8),2390-2402.
MLA Fan, Jie,et al."Assessment of coastal development policy based on simulating a sustainable land-use scenario for Liaoning Coastal Zone in China".LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT 29.8(2018):2390-2402.
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