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Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China
Wang, Guofeng1; Wu, Chengliang2; Wang, Jingyu2; Chen, Jiancheng2; Li, Zhihui3,4,5
2018-12-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN0959-6526
Volume203Pages:708-717
Corresponding AuthorWang, Guofeng(wanggf_simlab@163.com)
AbstractThis study calculated the CO2 emissions clue to fossil fuel consumption in China during 2000-2015 with consideration of the regional coal-, oil-, and gas-related variations. We used logarithmic mean Divisia index methods to establish the primary influencing factors of CO2 emissions, and we extended the UK National Ecosystem Assessment Scenarios to forecast future CO2 emissions related to fossil fuel use during 2020-2030. It was determined economic development is the main reason for increased CO2 emissions, and that energy intensity and energy structure decreased CO2 emissions. Finally, we considered six scenarios to predict the future development of coal, oil, and gas consumption in China. Six scenarios including Go with the Flow, Nature@work, Green and Pleasant Land, World Market, National Security and Local Stewardship, results show Green and Pleasant Land will induced coal and oil emission decrease and gas emission slightly increase. The results obtained based on analysis of CO2 emissions and identification of regional influencing factors could provide useful information for decision makers regarding the allocation of fossil fuel use. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
KeywordEnergy structure Carbon emissions Scenarios Future development
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.045
WOS KeywordENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; CARBON-DIOXIDE ; ROAD TRANSPORT ; OECD COUNTRIES ; MITIGATION ; PERFORMANCE ; STRATEGIES ; EFFICIENCY ; MALAYSIA
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602500]
Funding OrganizationNational Key Research and Development Program of China
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectGREEN & SUSTAINABLE SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000447568700055
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
Citation statistics
Cited Times:4[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/52649
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorWang, Guofeng
Affiliation1.Shanxi Univ Finance & Econ, Fac Int Trade, Taiyuan 030060, Shanxi, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Guofeng,Wu, Chengliang,Wang, Jingyu,et al. Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2018,203:708-717.
APA Wang, Guofeng,Wu, Chengliang,Wang, Jingyu,Chen, Jiancheng,&Li, Zhihui.(2018).Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,203,708-717.
MLA Wang, Guofeng,et al."Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 203(2018):708-717.
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