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Structural contribution and scenario simulation of highway passenger transit carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region, China
Ma, Haitao1; Sun, Wei1,2; Wang, Shaojian3; Kang, Lei4
2019
Source PublicationRESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
ISSN0921-3449
Volume140Pages:209-215
Corresponding AuthorWang, Shaojian(1987wangshaojian@163.com)
AbstractThe rapid growth of energy consumption and resulting CO2 emissions from transportation in China present challenges for decision makers in resolving a balance between demands for energy and environmental sustainability. In China, the major source of carbon (C) emissions derives from the transit system, and this problem is of particular interest in metropolitan regions, however there is a lack of clarity on past and projected future trends of C emissions from transit. This study aimed to model recent (2005-2014) historical spatio-temporal highway passenger transit C emissions (HPTCEs) in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban region, and to predict future emissions to 2030 under three simulated contrasting management scenarios. We used a long-range energy alternative planning system (LEAP) model to predict emissions under baseline, business as usual growth, and partial and total emission control scenarios. Modeling showed that the total emission control scenario resulted in greater reductions in C emission compared with the baseline growth and partial control scenarios, however, regional total C emissions were predicted to continue to rise by 2030 under all three scenarios. C emissions per passenger kilometer were predicted to decrease over time, while total regional C emissions continued to rise and increase pressure for decision makers to reduce regional C emissions. While HPTCEs were historically greater in Beijing and Tianjin, those from Hebei Province had recently sharply increased to levels greater than in Beijing and Tianjin, and this trend was predicted to continue. This study demonstrates that science-based policy intervention and regulations could reduce C emissions in metropolitan areas.
KeywordHighway passenger transit Carbon emissions Spatio-temporal change LEAP model Scenario simulation BTH region
DOI10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.09.028
WOS KeywordMALMQUIST INDEX ANALYSIS ; LEAP MODEL APPLICATION ; LONG-TERM FORECAST ; SUPPLY-AND-DEMAND ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; TRANSPORTATION SECTOR ; ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT ; POLICY IMPLICATIONS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[41590842] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41871117] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71433008] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571151] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601151] ; Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province[2016A030310149] ; Pearl River S&T Nova Program of Guangzhou[201806010187]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China ; Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province ; Pearl River S&T Nova Program of Guangzhou
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEngineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000449310700020
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/52475
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorWang, Shaojian
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Dept Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Urbanizat & Geosimulat, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Henan Univ, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Yellow River Civilizat Hen, Kaifeng 475001, Henan, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ma, Haitao,Sun, Wei,Wang, Shaojian,et al. Structural contribution and scenario simulation of highway passenger transit carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region, China[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2019,140:209-215.
APA Ma, Haitao,Sun, Wei,Wang, Shaojian,&Kang, Lei.(2019).Structural contribution and scenario simulation of highway passenger transit carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region, China.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,140,209-215.
MLA Ma, Haitao,et al."Structural contribution and scenario simulation of highway passenger transit carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region, China".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 140(2019):209-215.
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