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Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China
Zhang, Xiangxue1,2; Xu, Chengdong2; Xiao, Gexin3
2018-12-07
Source PublicationBMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES
ISSN1471-2334
Volume18Pages:9
Corresponding AuthorXu, Chengdong(xucd@lreis.ac.cn)
AbstractBackgroundHand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has become a substantial threat recently. However few studies have quantified spatiotemporal heterogeneity of HFMD and detected spatiotemporal interactive effect of potential driving factors on this disease.MethodsUsing GeoDetector and Bayesian space-time hierarchy model, we characterized the epidemiology of HFMD in Henan, one of the largest population provinces in China, from 2012 to 2013, and quantified the impacts of potential driving factors.ResultsNotably, 21.43 and 24.60% counties were identified as hot and cold spots, respectively. Spatially, the hotspots were mainly clustered in regions where the economic level was high. Temporally, the highest incidence period of HFMD was discovered to be in late spring and early summer. The impact of meteorological and socio-economic factors on the disease are significant, and this study found that a 1 degrees C rise in temperature was related to an increase of 4.09% in the HFMD incidence, a 1% increment in relative humidity was associated with a 1.77% increase of the disease, and a 1% increment in ratio of urban to rural population was associated with a 0.16% increase of the disease.ConclusionMeteorological and socio-economic factors presented significantly association with HFMD incidence, high-risk mainly appeared in large cities and their adjacent regions in hot and humid season. These findings will be helpful for HFMD risk control and disease-prevention policies implementation.
KeywordHand Foot and mouth disease Meteorological factors Socio-economic factors Spatiotemporal risk Bayesian space-time hierarchy model
DOI10.1186/s12879-018-3546-2
WOS KeywordCHILDHOOD HAND ; MAINLAND CHINA ; ENTEROVIRUS 71 ; RISK ; TEMPERATURE ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; ASSOCIATION ; MORTALITY ; VARIABLES ; PROVINCE
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Science Foundation of China[41601419] ; National Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA200YA] ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China[GYHY20140616]
Funding OrganizationNational Science Foundation of China ; Innovation Project of LREIS ; Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China
WOS Research AreaInfectious Diseases
WOS SubjectInfectious Diseases
WOS IDWOS:000452736200004
PublisherBMC
Citation statistics
Cited Times:6[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/51459
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorXu, Chengdong
Affiliation1.Changan Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Resources, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Xiangxue,Xu, Chengdong,Xiao, Gexin. Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China[J]. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES,2018,18:9.
APA Zhang, Xiangxue,Xu, Chengdong,&Xiao, Gexin.(2018).Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China.BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES,18,9.
MLA Zhang, Xiangxue,et al."Space-time heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease in children and its potential driving factors in Henan, China".BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES 18(2018):9.
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