KMS Institute Of Geographic Sciences And Natural Resources Research,CAS
| Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein | |
Asseng, Senthold1; Martre, Pierre2; Maiorano, Andrea2,3; Roetter, Reimund P.4,5; O'Leary, Garry J.6; Fitzgerald, Glenn J.7,8; Girousse, Christine9; Motzo, Rosella10; Giunta, Francesco10; Babar, M. Ali11; Reynolds, Matthew P.12; Kheir, Ahmed M. S.13; Thorburn, Peter J.14; Waha, Katharina14; Ruane, Alex C.15; Aggarwal, Pramod K.16; Ahmed, Mukhtar17,18; Balkovic, Juraj19,20; Basso, Bruno21,22; Biernath, Christian23; Bindi, Marco24; Cammarano, Davide25; Challinor, Andrew J.26,27; De Sanctis, Giacomo28; Dumont, Benjamin29; Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi30,31; Fereres, Elias32; Ferrise, Roberto24; Garcia-Vila, Margarita32; Gayler, Sebastian33; Gao, Yujing1; Horan, Heidi14; Hoogenboom, Gerrit1,34; Izaurralde, R. Cesar35,36; Jabloun, Mohamed37; Jones, Curtis D.35; Kassie, Belay T.1; Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian38; Klein, Christian23; Koehler, Ann-Kristin26; Liu, Bing1,39; Minoli, Sara40; San Martin, Manuel Montesino41; Mueller, Christoph40; Kumar, Soora Naresh42; Nendel, Claas38; Olesen, Jorgen Eivind37; Palosuo, Taru43; Porter, John R.41,44,45; Priesack, Eckart23; Ripoche, Dominique46; Semenov, Mikhail A.47; Stockle, Claudio17; Stratonovitch, Pierre47; Streck, Thilo33; Supit, Iwan48; Tao, Fulu43,49 ; Van der Velde, Marijn50; Wallach, Daniel51; Wang, Enli52; Webber, Heidi30,38; Wolf, Joost53; Xiao, Liujun39; Zhang, Zhao54; Zhao, Zhigan52,55; Zhu, Yan39; Ewert, Frank30,38
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| 2019 | |
| Source Publication | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
 |
| ISSN | 1354-1013 |
| Volume | 25Issue:1Pages:155-173 |
| Corresponding Author | Asseng, Senthold(sasseng@ufl.edu) |
| Abstract | Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by -1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of -8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production. |
| Keyword | climate change adaptation climate change impact food security grain protein wheat |
| DOI | 10.1111/gcb.14481 |
| WOS Keyword | ELEVATED ATMOSPHERIC CO2 ; CARBON-DIOXIDE ; GRAIN PROTEIN ; CROP MODELS ; YIELD ; ENRICHMENT ; QUALITY ; PRODUCTIVITY ; SIMULATION ; SENESCENCE |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | National Research Foundation for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China[20120097110042] ; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) ; CGIAR Research Program on Wheat ; EU Marie Curie FP7 COFUND People Programme ; French National Institute for Agricultural Research ; National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China ; Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571088] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571493] ; German Ministry for Research and Education (BMBF) ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council ; Innovation Fund Denmark ; China Scholarship Council ; Italian Ministry for Agricultural, Food and Forestry Policies ; Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and Forestry (MMM) ; Academy of Finland ; Victorian Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources ; University of Melbourne ; Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture ; German Science Foundation ; Global Futures and Strategic Foresight project ; Rothamsted Research ; Australian Department of Agriculture and Water Resources ; Grains Research Development Corporation, Australia |
| Funding Organization | National Research Foundation for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China ; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) ; CGIAR Research Program on Wheat ; EU Marie Curie FP7 COFUND People Programme ; French National Institute for Agricultural Research ; National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China ; Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; German Ministry for Research and Education (BMBF) ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council ; Innovation Fund Denmark ; China Scholarship Council ; Italian Ministry for Agricultural, Food and Forestry Policies ; Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and Forestry (MMM) ; Academy of Finland ; Victorian Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources ; University of Melbourne ; Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture ; German Science Foundation ; Global Futures and Strategic Foresight project ; Rothamsted Research ; Australian Department of Agriculture and Water Resources ; Grains Research Development Corporation, Australia |
| WOS Research Area | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS Subject | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
| WOS ID | WOS:000453370700014 |
| Publisher | WILEY |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/51390 |
| Collection | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| Corresponding Author | Asseng, Senthold |
| Affiliation | 1.Univ Florida, Agr & Biol Engn Dept, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA 2.Univ Montpellier, INRA, LEPSE, Montpellier SupAgro, Montpellier, France 3.European Food Safety Author, Parma, Italy 4.Univ Gottingen, Trop Plant Prod & Agr Syst Modelling TROPAGS, Gottingen, Germany 5.Univ Gottingen, Ctr Biodivers & Sustainable Land Use CBL, Gottingen, Germany 6.Agr Victoria Res, Dept Econ Dev Jobs Transport & Resources, Grains Innovat Pk, Horsham, Vic, Australia 7.Agr Victoria Res, Dept Econ Dev Jobs Transport & Resources, Horsham, Vic, Australia 8.Univ Melbourne, Fac Vet & Agr Sci, Creswick, Vic, Australia 9.Univ Clermont Auvergne, INRA, UMR GDEC, Clermont Ferrand, France 10.Univ Sassari, Dept Agr Sci, Sassari, Italy 11.Univ Florida, IFAS, Dept Agron, World Food Crops Breeding, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA 12.CIMMYT Int, Mexico City, DF, Mexico 13.Agr Res Ctr, Soils Water & Environm Res Inst, Giza, Egypt 14.CSIRO Agr & Food, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 15.NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA 16.BISA CIMMYT, CGIAR Res Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secur, New Delhi, India 17.Washington State Univ, Biol Syst Engn, Pullman, WA 99164 USA 18.Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agr Univ, Dept Agron, Rawalpindi, Pakistan 19.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria 20.Comenius Univ, Fac Nat Sci, Dept Soil Sci, Bratislava, Slovakia 21.Michigan State Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA 22.Michigan State Univ, WK Kellogg Biol Stn, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA 23.Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Inst Biochem Plant Pathol, German Res Ctr Environm Hlth, Neuherberg, Germany 24.Univ Florence, Dept Agrifood Prod & Environm Sci DISPAA, Florence, Italy 25.James Hutton Inst, Dundee, Scotland 26.Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Inst Climate & Atmospher Sci, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England 27.Int Ctr Trop Agr CIAT, Collaborat Res Program CGIAR & Future Earth Clima, Cali, Colombia 28.European Food Safety Author, GMO Unit, Parma, Italy 29.Univ Liege, Gembloux Agrobio Tech, Dept Terra & AgroBioChem, Gembloux, Belgium 30.Univ Bonn, Inst Crop Sci & Resource Conservat INRES, Bonn, Germany 31.Univ Gottingen, Dept Crop Sci, Gottingen, Germany 32.Univ Cordoba, IAS CSIC, Cordoba, Spain 33.Univ Hohenheim, Inst Soil Sci & Land Evaluat, Stuttgart, Germany 34.Univ Florida, Inst Sustainable Food Syst, Gainesville, FL USA 35.Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA 36.Texas A&M Univ, Texas A&M AgriLife Res & Extens Ctr, Temple, TX USA 37.Aarhus Univ, Dept Agroecol, Tjele, Denmark 38.Leibniz Ctr Agr Landscape Res, Muncheberg, Germany 39.Nanjing Agr Univ, Jiangsu Collaborat Innovat Ctr Modern Crop Prod, Jiangsu Key Lab Informat Agr,Minist Agr, Natl Engn & Technol Ctr Informat Agr,Key Lab Crop, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 40.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany 41.Univ Copenhagen, Plant & Environm Sci, Taastrup, Denmark 42.Indian Agr Res Inst, Ctr Environm Sci & Climate Resilient Agr, IARI PUSA, New Delhi, India 43.Nat Resources Inst Finland Luke, Helsinki, Finland 44.Lincoln Univ, Lincoln, New Zealand 45.Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, CIHEAM IAMM, Montpellier SupAgro,INRA, Montpellier, France 46.INRA, US AgroClim, Paris, France 47.Rothamsted Res, Harpenden, Herts, England 48.Wageningen Univ, Water & Food & Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands 49.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 50.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy 51.INRA UMR AGIR, Castanet Tolosan, France 52.CSIRO Agr & Food, Canberra, ACT, Australia 53.Wageningen Univ, Plant Prod Syst, Wageningen, Netherlands 54.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China 55.China Agr Univ, Dept Agron & Biotechnol, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Asseng, Senthold,Martre, Pierre,Maiorano, Andrea,et al. Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2019,25(1):155-173. |
| APA | Asseng, Senthold.,Martre, Pierre.,Maiorano, Andrea.,Roetter, Reimund P..,O'Leary, Garry J..,...&Ewert, Frank.(2019).Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,25(1),155-173. |
| MLA | Asseng, Senthold,et al."Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 25.1(2019):155-173. |
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