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The indirect carbon emission from household consumption in China between 1995-2009 and 2010-2030: A decomposition and prediction analysis
Xia, Yan1,2; Wang, Huijuan3; Liu, Weidong4
2019-02-01
Source PublicationCOMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING
ISSN0360-8352
Volume128Pages:264-276
Corresponding AuthorWang, Huijuan(huijuan-wang@163.com)
AbstractIndirect carbon emissions from households can be redefined and recalculated using an input-output model. This paper combines multivariate regression analysis with input-output technology and a structural decomposition analysis to examine their impact and predict carbon emissions in the future. The results show that urban employment, rapid urbanization, and the two-child policy are the main reasons for the population variable having a magnifying effect on increasing indirect carbon emissions. Growing household incomes and improved living standards will pose a serious threat to responses to climate change in most developing countries. The growth rate of indirect carbon emissions from household consumption will slow under the two-child policy, after adjusting for other determinants such as consumption composition and technical progress in energy-intensive sectors. The steady and continuous increase of indirect emissions is mainly trouble lies the stable consumption of secondary industry products and the rapid growth in consumption of tertiary industry products. This paper also presents several policy implications for the government and other decision-making organizations.
KeywordIndirect carbon emissions Input output model Structural decomposition analysis Policy simulation
DOI10.1016/j.cie.2018.12.031
WOS KeywordGREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS ; RURAL HOUSEHOLDS ; URBANIZATION ; FOOTPRINT ; URBAN ; OPPORTUNITIES
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Plan[2016YFA0602800] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71573248] ; National Statistical Scientific Research Project[2017LY07] ; Ministry of Education in China Project of Humanities and Social Sciences[18YJC790162] ; Ministry of Education in China Project of Humanities and Social Sciences[18YJA790056]
Funding OrganizationNational Key Research and Development Plan ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Statistical Scientific Research Project ; Ministry of Education in China Project of Humanities and Social Sciences
WOS Research AreaComputer Science ; Engineering
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Industrial
WOS IDWOS:000458221900019
PublisherPERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/49924
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorWang, Huijuan
Affiliation1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xia, Yan,Wang, Huijuan,Liu, Weidong. The indirect carbon emission from household consumption in China between 1995-2009 and 2010-2030: A decomposition and prediction analysis[J]. COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING,2019,128:264-276.
APA Xia, Yan,Wang, Huijuan,&Liu, Weidong.(2019).The indirect carbon emission from household consumption in China between 1995-2009 and 2010-2030: A decomposition and prediction analysis.COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING,128,264-276.
MLA Xia, Yan,et al."The indirect carbon emission from household consumption in China between 1995-2009 and 2010-2030: A decomposition and prediction analysis".COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING 128(2019):264-276.
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