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A new method to estimate the temperature-CVD mortality relationship
Yin, Qian1; Wang, Jinfeng1,2; Su, Jianting3,4; Wei, Zaihua3,4
2019-03-01
Source PublicationENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
ISSN0944-1344
Volume26Issue:9Pages:8895-8901
Corresponding AuthorWang, Jinfeng(wangjf@lreis.ac.cn) ; Wei, Zaihua(wzh.g@163.com)
AbstractFew detailed, individual-focused studies have researched the added effect of temperature on cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly in China. Moreover, no prior studies have explored the exposure-response relationship among all populations and different sub-sociodemographic groups. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was applied to evaluate the adverse health effects of temperature on CVD mortality for all populations and different sub-sociodemographic groups (by age, sex, educational level, living arrangement, and occupation) in Beijing. Based on the exposure-response relationships, firstly, we proposed a new model (COCKTAIL, Code Of Climate Key To An Ill) for revealing the split-and-merge relationships of the temperature-CVD mortality curve. This method could be used to apply the CVD deaths in a studied area to forecast the exposure-response relationships in the same area in the future. Secondly, this is the most detailed study to analyze the relationship between temperature and CVD mortality for different subgroups among the existing researches for developed and developing countries. We found that the cold temperature (at -14 degrees C) was the risk factor for people with low socioeconomic status, especially for single people (including unmarried, divorced, and widowed), for indoor workers, and for people with low education, compared with the minimum mortality temperature, with a cumulative increase of 3.9 (80%CI, 2.9-5.4), 3.8 (80%CI, 2.8-5.1), and 4.5 (80%CI, 3.1-6.3) times respectively. Meanwhile, the hot temperature (at 35 degrees C) was the risk factor for CVD death, with a cumulative increase of 2.6 (80%CI, 2.0-3.4) for females, and 3.1 (80%CI, 2.4-4.2) for single people. The varying CVD vulnerability in terms of CVD mortality among various groups may assist governments in preparing health resources and taking measures to prevent or reduce temperature-related deaths.
KeywordTemperature Cardiovascular disease COCKTAIL
DOI10.1007/s11356-019-04247-6
WOS KeywordHEAT-RELATED MORTALITY ; TIME-SERIES ; CARDIOVASCULAR MORTALITY ; AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; CASE-CROSSOVER ; WAVES ; CITY ; ASSOCIATION ; RISK ; VULNERABILITY
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421001] ; Ministry of Science and Technology of China[2016YFC1302504]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China ; Ministry of Science and Technology of China
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000464851100048
PublisherSPRINGER HEIDELBERG
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/48154
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorWang, Jinfeng; Wei, Zaihua
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Beijing Municipal Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Res Ctr Prevent Med, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yin, Qian,Wang, Jinfeng,Su, Jianting,et al. A new method to estimate the temperature-CVD mortality relationship[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2019,26(9):8895-8901.
APA Yin, Qian,Wang, Jinfeng,Su, Jianting,&Wei, Zaihua.(2019).A new method to estimate the temperature-CVD mortality relationship.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,26(9),8895-8901.
MLA Yin, Qian,et al."A new method to estimate the temperature-CVD mortality relationship".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH 26.9(2019):8895-8901.
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