Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050
He, NP; Wen, D; Zhu, JX; Tang, XL; Xu, L; Zhang, L; Hu, HF; Huang, M; Yu, GR
2017
Source PublicationGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
ISSN1354-1013
Volume23Issue:4Pages:1575-1584
AbstractForests store a large part of the terrestrial vegetation carbon (C) and have high C sequestration potential. Here, we developed a new forest C sequestration (FCS) model based on the secondary succession theory, to estimate vegetation C sequestration capacity in China's forest vegetation. The model used the field measurement data of 3161 forest plots and three future climate scenarios. The results showed that logistic equations provided a good fit for vegetation biomass with forest age in natural and planted forests. The FCS model has been verified with forest biomass data, and model uncertainty is discussed. The increment of vegetation C storage in China's forest vegetation from 2010 to 2050 was estimated as 13.92 Pg C, while the average vegetation C sequestration rate was 0.34 Pg C yr(-1) with a 95% confidence interval of 0.28-0.42 Pg C yr (-1), which differed significantly between forest types. The largest contributor to the increment was deciduous broadleaf forest (37.8%), while the smallest was deciduous needleleaf forest (2.7%). The vegetation C sequestration rate might reach its maximum around 2020, although vegetation C storage increases continually. It is estimated that vegetation C sequestration might offset 6-8% of China's future emissions. Furthermore, there was a significant negative relationship between vegetation C sequestration rate and C emission rate in different provinces of China, suggesting that developed provinces might need to compensate for undeveloped provinces through C trade. Our findings will provide valuable guidelines to policymakers for designing afforestation strategies and forest C trade in China.
SubtypeJournal
Keywordcarbon sequestration rate climate forest forest C sequestration model logistic storage
Subject AreaBiodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS Subject ExtendedBiodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS KeywordOLD-GROWTH FORESTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; NET PRIMARY ; BIOMASS ; STORAGE ; DYNAMICS ; STOCKS ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000396836800018
PublisherWILEY
Citation statistics
Cited Times:12[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/44084
Collection生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_生态网络实验室
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
He, NP,Wen, D,Zhu, JX,et al. Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(4):1575-1584.
APA He, NP.,Wen, D.,Zhu, JX.,Tang, XL.,Xu, L.,...&Yu, GR.(2017).Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(4),1575-1584.
MLA He, NP,et al."Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.4(2017):1575-1584.
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