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Climate change and social vicissitudes in China over the past two millennia
Yin J.; Su, Y.; Fang, X. Q.
Source PublicationQuaternary Research
2016
Volume86
Issue2
Pages133-143
KeywordClimate change Semantic Differential technique Quantitative series Social rise and fall Past two millennia China northern-hemisphere temporal variations temperature-change linking climate last-millennium monsoonal rain change impacts collapse cycles population
AbstractThe relation between climate change and historical rhythms has long been discussed. However, this type of study still faces the lack of high-resolution data concerning long-term socio-economic processes. In this study, we collected 1586 items of direct and proffered evidence from 29 Chinese history books. We used semantic analysis to reconstruct a quantitative series of the social vicissitudes of the past 2000 yr with a 10-yr resolution to express the phase transition of the social vicissitudes of the dynasties in China. Our reconstruction demonstrates that social vicissitudes have clear cyclical features on multiple time scales. Analysis of the association of social rise and fall with climate change indicates that temperature displayed more significant effects on social vicissitudes in the long term, while precipitation displayed more significant effects on the social vicissitudes in the short term. There are great overlaps between social and climatic variables around the predominant or periodic bands. Social rise mostly occurred in the centennial-scale warm periods, whereas social decline mostly occurred in the centennial-scale cold periods. Under warm-wet conditions, social rise occurred over 57% of the time; under cold-dry conditions, the social decline occurred over 66% of the time. (C) 2016 University of Washington. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
ISSN0033-5894
DOI10.1016/j.yqres.2016.07.003
Citation statistics
Cited Times:7[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document TypeSCI/SSCI论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43367
Collection历年回溯文献
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yin J.,Su, Y.,Fang, X. Q.. Climate change and social vicissitudes in China over the past two millennia. 2016.
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