IGSNRR OpenIR
Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation
Gao, Qian1,2; Fang, Chuanglin1,3; Liu, Haimeng3; Zhang, Lifang1
2021-09-01
Source PublicationSCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
Volume785Pages:18
Corresponding AuthorFang, Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractThe scientific evaluation of carrying capacity and the formulation of adaptive regulation policies are powerful ways to achieve sustainable development goals. In order to quantitatively and accurately diagnose the sustain-able development state of urban agglomeration, this paper responds to the & ldquo;Future Earth & rdquo; framework; takes the carrying capacity as the breakthrough point; embeds the conjugate thought; considers the elements of the resources, the environment, the ecology, and the development; and establishes the conjugate evaluation model and the evaluation index system of sustainable carrying capacity. In order to solve the actual bottleneck problem of urban agglomeration, this work identifies the key obstacle factors, constructs the multi-scenario dy-namic coupling (MSDC) model, recognizes the sensitivity policies, and proposes the adaptive regulation polices. Taking the urban agglomeration on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains (UANSTM) in arid areas as a case study, it was found that from 2007 to 2017, the carrying capacity gradually increased, and the sustainable development showed a benign transformation trend in the UANSTM. It will also be in a transitional stage of growth from now to 2035, and the steady development of the economy and the society and the good mainte-nance of the resources, the environment and the ecology are equally important. The policies on population inter-vention and on the management of water resources play a vital role, and the speed of economic development should be controlled throughout the whole process. The study confirms that the effective regulation is necessary for the sustainable development of the urban agglomeration in the future, and the key lies in improving techno-logical progress and governance policy support. It is expected that this new and complete research framework for the conjugate evaluation of the sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation can be applied to other regions or urban agglomerations in developing countries and can make a pos-sible breakthrough in promoting the theoretical exploration and practice of sustainable development. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
KeywordSustainable carrying capacity Conjugate evaluation Multi-scenario dynamic coupling model Policy regulation Urban agglomeration Northern slope of Tianshan Mountains
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147373
WOS KeywordYANGTZE-RIVER DELTA ; EVALUATION MODEL ; ECO-ENVIRONMENT ; LAND-USE ; SYSTEM ; EVOLUTION ; GROWTH ; LIMITS ; SPACE ; SAFE
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[41590840] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590842] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040400] ; Graduate Research Innovation Project in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China[XJ2019G019]
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Graduate Research Innovation Project in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000659457100003
PublisherELSEVIER
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164121
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorFang, Chuanglin
Affiliation1.Xinjiang Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Gao, Qian,Fang, Chuanglin,Liu, Haimeng,et al. Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2021,785:18.
APA Gao, Qian,Fang, Chuanglin,Liu, Haimeng,&Zhang, Lifang.(2021).Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,785,18.
MLA Gao, Qian,et al."Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 785(2021):18.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Gao, Qian]'s Articles
[Fang, Chuanglin]'s Articles
[Liu, Haimeng]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Gao, Qian]'s Articles
[Fang, Chuanglin]'s Articles
[Liu, Haimeng]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Gao, Qian]'s Articles
[Fang, Chuanglin]'s Articles
[Liu, Haimeng]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.