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Suitability of Habitats in Nepal for Dactylorhiza hatagirea Now and under Predicted Future Changes in Climate
Shrestha, Bikram1,2; Tsiftsis, Spyros3; Chapagain, Deep Jyoti4,5; Khadka, Chhatra6; Bhattarai, Prakash4,7; Kayastha Shrestha, Neelima8; Alicja Kolanowska, Marta1,9; Kindlmann, Pavel1,2
2021-03-01
Source PublicationPLANTS-BASEL
Volume10Issue:3Pages:21
Corresponding AuthorShrestha, Bikram(bikramone@gmail.com)
AbstractDactylorhiza hatagirea is a terrestrial orchid listed in Appendix II of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES) and classified as threatened by International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). It is endemic to the Hindu-Kush Himalayan region, distributed from Pakistan to China. The main threat to its existence is climate change and the associated change in the distribution of its suitable habitats to higher altitudes due to increasing temperature. It is therefore necessary to determine the habitats that are suitable for its survival and their expected distribution after the predicted changes in climate. To do this, we use Maxent modelling of the data for its 208 locations. We predict its distribution in 2050 and 2070 using four climate change models and two greenhouse gas concentration trajectories. This revealed severe losses of suitable habitat in Nepal, in which, under the worst scenario, there will be a 71-81% reduction the number of suitable locations for D. hatagirea by 2050 and 95-98% by 2070. Under the most favorable scenario, this reduction will be 65-85% by 2070. The intermediate greenhouse gas concentration trajectory surprisingly would result in a greater reduction by 2070 than the worst-case scenario. Our results provide important guidelines that local authorities interested in conserving this species could use to select areas that need to be protected now and in the future.
KeywordDactylorhiza hatagirea medicinal plant Himalaya Nepal climate change Orchidaceae
DOI10.3390/plants10030467
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectMinistry of Education, Youth and Sports of CR within the CzeCOS program[LM2018123] ; Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs[13-07KU] ; Rufford Foundation, UK[RSG-19960-1] ; Rufford Foundation, UK[RSG-11891-1] ; Rufford Foundation, UK[RSG-11881] ; Rufford Foundation, UK[RSG-16864-2] ; USAID[EN02]
Funding OrganizationMinistry of Education, Youth and Sports of CR within the CzeCOS program ; Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs ; Rufford Foundation, UK ; USAID
WOS Research AreaPlant Sciences
WOS SubjectPlant Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000634083500001
PublisherMDPI
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/161985
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorShrestha, Bikram
Affiliation1.CAS, Global Change Res Inst, Dept Biodivers Res, Belidla 986-4a, Brno 60300, Czech Republic
2.Charles Univ Prague, Fac Sci, Inst Environm Studies, Benatska 2, Prague 12801, Czech Republic
3.Int Hellen Univ, Dept Forest & Nat Environm Sci, GR-66100 Drama, Greece
4.Tribhuvan Univ, Cent Dept Bot, Kirtipur 44618, Nepal
5.Univ Copenhagen, Dept Food & Resource Econ, DK-1165 Copenhagen, Denmark
6.Govt Nepal Minist Forests & Environm, Dept Natl Parks & Wildlife Conservat, Chitwan Natl Pk, Kathmandu 44600, Nepal
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
8.Pokhara Univ, Sch Hlth & Allied Sci, Nat Product Chem, Pokhara 33700, Nepal
9.Univ Lodz, Fac Biol & Environm Protect, Dept Geobot & Plant Ecol, Banacha 12-16, PL-90237 Lodz, Poland
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Shrestha, Bikram,Tsiftsis, Spyros,Chapagain, Deep Jyoti,et al. Suitability of Habitats in Nepal for Dactylorhiza hatagirea Now and under Predicted Future Changes in Climate[J]. PLANTS-BASEL,2021,10(3):21.
APA Shrestha, Bikram.,Tsiftsis, Spyros.,Chapagain, Deep Jyoti.,Khadka, Chhatra.,Bhattarai, Prakash.,...&Kindlmann, Pavel.(2021).Suitability of Habitats in Nepal for Dactylorhiza hatagirea Now and under Predicted Future Changes in Climate.PLANTS-BASEL,10(3),21.
MLA Shrestha, Bikram,et al."Suitability of Habitats in Nepal for Dactylorhiza hatagirea Now and under Predicted Future Changes in Climate".PLANTS-BASEL 10.3(2021):21.
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