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Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth
Samie, Abdus1; Abbas, Azhar1; Azeem, Muhammad Masood2; Hamid, Sidra3; Iqbal, Muhammad Amjed1; Hasan, Shaikh Shamim4; Deng, Xiangzheng5
2020-04-29
Source PublicationENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
ISSN0944-1344
Pages19
Corresponding AuthorAbbas, Azhar(azhar.abbas@uaf.edu.pk)
AbstractLand use and land cover changes (LULCC) significantly affect the climate at regional and global levels through different biogeophysical and biogeochemical processes. However, the effects of biogeophysical aspects of LULCC on climate have been often ignored, which may overestimate the biogeochemical effects on climate change. Thus, understanding the biogeophysical influence of land use changes on climate change in future potential scenarios is crucial. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the mechanism and land use change impacts on future climate under different scenarios through changes in underlying surface and surface energy balance. In order to fill this research gap, three simulations are performed by Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model for the year 2010-2030 under Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario, Rapid Economic Growth (REG) scenario, and Coordinated Environmental Sustainability (CES) scenario to evaluate the influence of future LULCC on temperature projections for the Punjab province in Pakistan. Results show that land use conversions under three scenarios induce overall climate cooling in the region. The decrease in annual average temperature in CES scenario (- 0.02 degrees C) is slightly greater than that in BAU and REG scenarios (- 0.01 degrees C). The responses of temperature to future LULCC vary in different months in all scenarios, with greater responses in warmer months, causing climate cooling. In each scenario, the response of temperature is found to be sensitive to different land transitions. The findings of the study can be a reference for policy makers, researchers, and development practitioners in their pursuit to understand the effects of land use change on climate.
KeywordSustainable Turbulent energy fluxes Migration Policy Biogeophysical parameters Landscape
DOI10.1007/s11356-020-08984-x
WOS KeywordWEATHER RESEARCH ; FOOD SECURITY ; NORTH-AMERICA ; SYSTEM ; CARBON ; MODEL ; PROJECTIONS ; SIMULATION ; DYNAMICS ; CLASSIFICATION
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectChinese Academy of Sciences under CAS-TWAS fellowship ; University of Agriculture Faisalabad
Funding OrganizationChinese Academy of Sciences under CAS-TWAS fellowship ; University of Agriculture Faisalabad
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000529490200001
PublisherSPRINGER HEIDELBERG
Citation statistics
Cited Times:2[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/159929
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorAbbas, Azhar
Affiliation1.Univ Agr Faisalabad UAF, Inst Agr & Resource Econ IARE, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan
2.Univ New England, Ctr Agribusiness, Business Sch, Fac Sci Agr Business & Law, Armidale, NSW, Australia
3.Govt Punjab, Educ Dept, Lahore, Pakistan
4.Bangahandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agr Univ BSMRAU, Dept Agr Extens & Rural Dev, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Samie, Abdus,Abbas, Azhar,Azeem, Muhammad Masood,et al. Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2020:19.
APA Samie, Abdus.,Abbas, Azhar.,Azeem, Muhammad Masood.,Hamid, Sidra.,Iqbal, Muhammad Amjed.,...&Deng, Xiangzheng.(2020).Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,19.
MLA Samie, Abdus,et al."Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2020):19.
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