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Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries
Li, Zhihui1,2,3; Deng, Xiangzheng1,2,3; Zhang, Yue4,5
2021-02-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN0959-6526
Volume282Pages:9
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng(dengxz@igsnrr.ac.cn)
AbstractReducing vulnerability and strengthening resilience are vital to achieve the sustainable development goals. Identification of socio-economic vulnerability has been a key step for problem identification and solution framing. Using the official data of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries from year 2000 to year 2015, the Data Envelopment Analysis model was applied to evaluate the socio-economic vulnerability of the countries. Subsequently the convergence characteristics of socio-economic vulnerability between the countries were examined using Theil index method. The results showed that the average socio-economic vulnerability of the BRI countries had a decreasing trend, from 0.319 to 0.141, with fluctuations between 2000 and 2015. The South Asia and East Asia-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) were high vulnerability zones as they experienced frequent natural hazards with high population densities. The Theil indices indicated that overall disparities in the BRI countries' vulnerability were high with values around 0.575-0.757and did not show obvious convergence trend, even though the disparities in vulnerability scores of the South Asia and East Asia-ASEAN zones were relatively lower. In addition, intra-group disparities constituted about 71.34% of the total disparities, which were the primary cause of the overall disparity in the BRI region, indicating that different levels of socio-economic vulnerability between countries in the same zone was a concern. Proper management and decision making are proposed, especially in the South Asia and East Asia-ASEAN zones, to reduce socioeconomic vulnerability in order to better resist natural hazards. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
KeywordSocio-economic vulnerability Convergence analysis Data envelopment analysis Theil index BRI countries
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125406
WOS KeywordCHINA BELT ; COMMUNITIES ; EFFICIENCY ; IMPACT ; FLOOD ; RIVER ; RISK
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectStrategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20010302]
Funding OrganizationStrategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectGreen & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000608119700011
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
Citation statistics
Cited Times:4[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/136381
Collection中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Corresponding AuthorDeng, Xiangzheng
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.Capital Normal Univ, Coll Resource Environm & Tourism, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China
5.Capital Normal Univ, State Key Lab Incubat Base Urban Environm Proc, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Zhihui,Deng, Xiangzheng,Zhang, Yue. Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2021,282:9.
APA Li, Zhihui,Deng, Xiangzheng,&Zhang, Yue.(2021).Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,282,9.
MLA Li, Zhihui,et al."Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 282(2021):9.
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