Li Fuxing; Zhang Shiyan; Chen Dong; He Li; Gu Leilei
Source Publicationjournalofresourcesandecology
AbstractWavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall tests are employed to evaluate the variation in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and hydrological variables in the Haihe River basin calculated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity model. The relationships between those variables and the EASM are also examined. The results indicate consistent 40a periodic variation in both the hydrological variables and the EASM. The hydrologic variables show downward trends in the Haihe River basin over the past 60 years, especially in piedmont regions of the Taihang- Yan Mountains. The variables are closely related to the EASM, whose continuous weakening since the 1970 s has resulted in prolonged drought and severe water shortages in the basin. The periodicity of the EASM index was analyzed using continuous wavelet transform methods. We found the most significant periodic signal of the EASM is ~80 years; therefore, the EASM may reinforce and reach a maximum in the 2040 s, resulting in more precipitation and other impacts on basin water resources. Hydrologic variables in the basin in the 2040 s are predicted, and their spatial distributions in the Haihe River basin are also discussed. These results allow for the estimation of water resources under forecasted EASM, which will be useful for water resources management in the Haihe River basin.
Document Type期刊论文
First Author Affilication中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li Fuxing,Zhang Shiyan,Chen Dong,et al. interdecadalvariabilityoftheeastasiansummermonsoonanditsimpactonhydrologicvariablesinthehaiheriverbasinchina[J]. journalofresourcesandecology,2017,8(2):174.
APA Li Fuxing,Zhang Shiyan,Chen Dong,He Li,&Gu Leilei.(2017).interdecadalvariabilityoftheeastasiansummermonsoonanditsimpactonhydrologicvariablesinthehaiheriverbasinchina.journalofresourcesandecology,8(2),174.
MLA Li Fuxing,et al."interdecadalvariabilityoftheeastasiansummermonsoonanditsimpactonhydrologicvariablesinthehaiheriverbasinchina".journalofresourcesandecology 8.2(2017):174.
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